Michelle received an AncestryDNA for her birthday. She did this to
find out her ethnicity percentages. She promptly sent it off and
received her results in less than 3 weeks. The results were not what
she expected. She knew the first match was her maternal first cousin @
817 cMs. She didn't know who the other close match, BD, was coming in
at 518 cMs (1-2 cousin range). She searched her maiden name and could
not find one match with it nor one with it in their tree. This was
off. She called me. We talked about the potential of a NPE (Not
Parent Expected).
Michelle reached out to a paternal cousin
to see which platform they tested on. Turns out they also tested on
AncetryDNA. We did a user name search and confirmed that they were on
the same platform and did not match her at all.
I got to work analyzing her matches. There were matches in the 2-3nd cousins range with no trees to work with on their profiles. Back to the BD match to take a deeper look at his aunts and uncles. If this was her first cousin, an aunt or uncle and their spouse could be her grandparents. There were several aunts that I looked into. I came up with 4 possible male cousins that could be her biological father.
I was reviewing the possibilities when I noticed his Aunt Mildred's mother-in-law's maiden name was Wagner. I saw that name somewhere in the distant cousin matches. This was a clue that told me to keep working this family. I worked it back another generation to what would turn out to be Michelle's 2x great grandparents, Julius Reinhold Wagner and Theresa Schilling. They had 12 children. Long story short, plugged in two 3rd cousins to this couple. SK at 59 cMs and NJ at 49 cMs.
When I work an adoption or NPE case, I like to have 4 matches that fit into the chart before I come to a final conclusion. So I worked the tree back one more generation to Theresa Schillings parents, William G. Shilling and Ottilie "Elsie" Greiner. From this couple, I was able to pug in JA at 21 cMs who would be her 4C as they share a set of 3x great grand parents.
You can see, Ancestry gives them a 22% chance at being 3rd cousins. 21
cMs is not a lot to work with but when the paper trail comes to the same conclusion it is confirmation. The lower the cMs, the lower the chances of finding the correct relationship, this is why it is important to follow and connect the paper trail. If the matches come in higher, that is more definitive and ancestry is usually pretty good at guessing the relationship at 84% the odds are way higher that it's correct.
BM turns out to be her biological father's maternal first cousin. Making BM and Michelle 1C1R. Exactly where AncestryDNA first predicted their relationship to be.
I come to the conclusion that Michelle's biological father is JRS. This conclusion is made by finding 2 third cousins and 1 fourth cousin match on his paternal line for Michelle and 1 first cousin once removed match on his maternal line. This was her birthday surprise.


























